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Simon Quijano-Evans • EM Economist & Strategist About me
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Colombia & Romania: Two stories, similar rating

Apr 2, 2026

Colombia & Romania: Two very distinct but similar-rated countries, with bond spreads wide of “fair-value”. Why? Political noise fatigue & budget deficit dynamics (both 6%+ of GDP) that blur the ratings outlook. Recent years have shown that this sort of market action is not restricted to Emerging Markets. Indeed, Developed Market nations often face considerably higher debt/GDP ratios than their EM peers.